Market Commentaries

OVERVIEW   U.S. stocks edged higher last week, resulting in the S&P 500—up 0.21% for the week—reaching a new high for the year. The tech-heavy Nasdaq increased 0.7%, and the Dow remained flat. Foreign stocks, however, were mixed. Developed countries rose...

Turkey Day is here, and that is historically bullish for stocks. Yet, extreme investor optimism raises caution. Let’s dive into this week’s commentary to find out if the market’s recent price action is sustainable.

The stock market snapped an eight-day winning streak last week but ended on another upbeat note. In this week’s commentary, we look at the price action and how it’s managed to keep the market afloat this year.

Thanksgiving is here, but the market is feeling more like Easter, with the S&P 500 bouncing back like an energetic bunny. This week’s commentary discusses what’s got investors in such a festive mood and points out some interesting dynamics related to market breadth.

The stock market staged an impressive comeback last week, fueled by falling interest rates and a surge in bearish sentiment. However, the weight of the evidence suggests there is more work needed to sustain a recovery due to factors such as the challenging technical backdrop and elevated stock valuations.

The leaves are falling, and so is the stock market. In this week’s commentary, we discuss the recent setbacks in the market’s technical price movements, delve into some valuable information offered by the yield curve concerning the economic environment, and spotlight why year-end seasonality could be a potential bright spot for the market.

OVERVIEW   It was a gloomy week for U.S. stocks. The S&P 500 Index sank 2.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.6%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite tumbled 3.16%. The Russell 2000 Index of small-cap stocks also fell around 2.3%. Volatility rose...

The U.S. stock market celebrated its one-year bull market anniversary last week. In this week’s commentary, we’ll assess how it stacks up with historical bull markets and share a few insights from our market indicators.

The U.S. stock market is quickly approaching a key level of technical support, its 200-day moving average. In this week’s analysis, we delve into the various factors currently impacting the market and assess its ability to proverbially “hold the line.”

The theme of this week’s market commentary is “hanging by a thread.” We highlight a few indicators illustrating why the current state of the stock market is precarious—including a chart that underscores the fragility of this year’s gains—and discuss the implications of this situation for our primary stock market risk model.